Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.004139 0.004356 0.004578 0.004824 0.005089 0.005365 0.005676
2025-08-10 0.003735 0.004052 0.004392 0.004784 0.005226 0.005711 0.006287
2025-08-17 0.003556 0.003939 0.004361 0.004865 0.005452 0.006120 0.006944
2025-08-24 0.003365 0.003788 0.004265 0.004847 0.005544 0.006361 0.007402
2025-08-31 0.003201 0.003651 0.004168 0.004813 0.005603 0.006553 0.007798
2025-09-07 0.003045 0.003512 0.004057 0.004749 0.005614 0.006677 0.008108
2025-09-14 0.002906 0.003385 0.003951 0.004681 0.005612 0.006777 0.008383
2025-09-21 0.002819 0.003314 0.003909 0.004688 0.005698 0.006990 0.008811
2025-09-28 0.002667 0.003158 0.003754 0.004542 0.005577 0.006922 0.008854
2025-10-05 0.002594 0.003096 0.003712 0.004538 0.005640 0.007098 0.009237
2025-10-12 0.002563 0.003084 0.003732 0.004613 0.005809 0.007421 0.009843
2025-10-19 0.002486 0.003012 0.003671 0.004578 0.005825 0.007532 0.010147
2025-10-26 0.002415 0.002945 0.003616 0.004549 0.005849 0.007657 0.010482
2025-11-02 0.002346 0.002878 0.003558 0.004513 0.005861 0.007765 0.010797
2025-11-09 0.002324 0.002873 0.003580 0.004588 0.006032 0.008109 0.011497
2025-11-16 0.002270 0.002821 0.003539 0.004571 0.006068 0.008255 0.011891
2025-11-23 0.002213 0.002765 0.003489 0.004540 0.006082 0.008366 0.012232
2025-11-30 0.002149 0.002697 0.003422 0.004481 0.006051 0.008405 0.012455
2025-12-07 0.002087 0.002631 0.003354 0.004418 0.006012 0.008429 0.012651
2025-12-14 0.002053 0.002600 0.003334 0.004425 0.006076 0.008616 0.013139
2025-12-21 0.001972 0.002504 0.003220 0.004289 0.005918 0.008442 0.012981
2025-12-28 0.001938 0.002473 0.003196 0.004286 0.005963 0.008597 0.013417
2026-01-04 0.001930 0.002476 0.003221 0.004355 0.006123 0.008947 0.014232